2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight
WEBNov 8, 2016 · Who’s ahead in each state and by how much. Our win probabilities come from simulating the election 20,000 times, which produces a distribution of possible outcomes for each state. Here are the...
2016 Election Forecast - Analysis | FiveThirtyEight
WEBNate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.
The Real Story Of 2016 - FiveThirtyEight
WEBJan 19, 2017 · Clinton led by only 2.3 percentage points in the weighted average of tipping-point states in FiveThirtyEight’s final forecast, providing for many potential winning combinations for Trump.
Why FiveThirtyEight Gave Trump A Better Chance Than Almost …
WEBNov 11, 2016 · Our final forecast, issued early Tuesday evening, had Trump with a 29 percent chance of winning the Electoral College. 1 By comparison, other models tracked by The New York Times put Trump’s...
Final forecast from Nate Silver's 538 ups Clinton's chances of …
WEBNov 8, 2016 · Nate Silver, the renowned pollster who has seriously talked up the chances of Donald Trump winning today's election, has released his final forecast.
2016 Presidential Election Forecast Maps - 270toWin
WEBThe ratings below reflect the final update before the 2016 election. Use it as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast.
A User’s Guide To FiveThirtyEight’s 2016 General Election Forecast
WEBJun 29, 2016 · We’ve just launched FiveThirtyEight’s 2016 general election forecast, which projects how the 538 Electoral College votes could break down in the presidential election. The forecast will be...
2016 Election Forecast: Who Will Be President? - The New York Times
WEBNov 8, 2016 · To forecast each party’s chance of winning the presidency, our model calculates vote estimates for each state and the District of Columbia, as well as congressional districts in Maine and...
National Polls | 2016 Election Forecast - FiveThirtyEight
WEBNov 8, 2016 · National polls for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.
Nate Silver says conventional wisdom, not data, killed 2016 …
WEBMar 30, 2017 · Even leading statistical analysis site FiveThirtyEight.com gave Donald Trump a less than 1 in 3 chance of winning. So when he surged to victory with 306 Electoral College votes, stunned political pundits blamed pollsters and …